TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11b1…e033

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Malo: Celine Naef vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Aix en Provence: Alex Michelsen vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Aix en Provence: Rinky Hijikata vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$109.49
Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+147%+$146.99
Shymkent 2: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jiujiang: Liam Broady vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143%+$171.64
Cagliari: Andrea Pellegrino vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Samuele Pieribacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$21.96
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Bindabacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ostrava: Jonas Forejtek vs Hynek Bartonbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+193.2%+$222.23
Aix en Provence: Stan Wawrinka vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Saint-Malo: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksubacked Ayla Aksu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.09
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Yidi Yangbacked Yidi Yang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.15
Mauthausen: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.48
Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Bilozertsevbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$66.13
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$133.09
Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+105%+$30.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$158.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$49.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Abacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.