Tennis · resolved market
Saint-Malo: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8761618deef2616231ee063e2b301ed27267ba012359b588f5212db8676e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Costoulasof Sofia Costoulas, Ayla Aksu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ayla Aksu | 30c | 3,164$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sofia Costoulas | 70c | 2,164$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sofia Costoulas | 49c | 1,451$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.19 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ayla Aksu | 53c | 1,319$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.29 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Sofia Costoulas | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Ayla Aksu | 65c | 1,001$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.65 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Sofia Costoulas | 51c | 998.53$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.28 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ayla Aksu | 49c | 898.61$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ayla Aksu | 47c | 854.58$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ayla Aksu | 14c | 787.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Ayla Aksu | 41c | 630.55$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Sofia Costoulas | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sofia Costoulas | 41c | 356.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ayla Aksu | 31c | 328.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 273.69$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Ayla Aksu | 60c | 261.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…e033backed Ayla Aksu | 52c | 213.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sofia Costoulas | 72c | 194.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sofia Costoulas | 76c | 172.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Ayla Aksu | 64c | 158.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ayla Aksu | 32c | 143.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Sofia Costoulas | 77c | 126.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sofia Costoulas | 52c | 112.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ayla Aksu | 12c | 109.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Sofia Costoulas | 47c | 94.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Ayla Aksu | 23c | 88.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ayla Aksu | 22c | 84.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Ayla Aksu | 52c | 80.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Sofia Costoulas | 48c | 78.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 220 | 49.5%109 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…7965backed Ayla Aksu | 18c | 78.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ayla Aksu | 36c | 76.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ayla Aksu | 39c | 73.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…8636backed Sofia Costoulas | 40c | 72.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Sofia Costoulas | 78c | 63.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Sofia Costoulas | 39c | 61.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Ayla Aksu | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Sofia Costoulas | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Sofia Costoulas | 65c | 48.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Ayla Aksu | 46c | 44.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Ayla Aksu | 40c | 43.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Sofia Costoulas | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sofia Costoulas | 48c | 30.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Ayla Aksu | 35c | 29.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sofia Costoulas | 44c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…bd77backed Sofia Costoulas | 41c | 27.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ayla Aksu | 50c | 27.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Ayla Aksu | 73c | 27.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Sofia Costoulas | 74c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…883bbacked Ayla Aksu | 64c | 17.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint-Malo: Sofia Costoulas vs Ayla Aksuthis page
- Costoulas vs. Aksu: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Costoulas vs. Aksu: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Costoulas vs AksuCostoulas won
- Sofia Costoulas vs. Ayla Aksu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.