Tennis · resolved market
Shymkent 2: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Nikita Bilozertsev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b21fc33596041845036d8e0f2ac8a7c79b3a9fa258715c57f3ef2e9b91d420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manoj Dhamne Manasof Manoj Dhamne Manas, Nikita Bilozertsev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 36c | 1,043$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.98 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…fe1dbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 36c | 670.35$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 35c | 434.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 51c | 406.02$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 287.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 76c | 250.15$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 43c | 185.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…160cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 36c | 179.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…e033backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 62c | 174.04$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 36c | 167.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…f1a6backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 69c | 130.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 71c | 122.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…b4aebacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 37c | 119.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 64c | 118.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 66c | 114.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 89.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 41c | 75.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 78c | 60.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…b707backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Nikita Bilozertsev | 59c | 43.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 39c | 38.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 67c | 34.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 29.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 64c | 29.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 60c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 63c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…0bcebacked Nikita Bilozertsev | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 60c | 17.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.