Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb308b9815a7d6a6ae80ba92396c1a71c65b2f270371be713e30fd4213976f24c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 2,909$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.44 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 27c | 1,408$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 1,346$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.61 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.15 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 792.89$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Yes | 16c | 637.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +298.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 16c | 522.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.43 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 48c | 473.16$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed No | 68c | 430$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 23c | 369.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 53c | 366.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 360.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 1,283 | 50.3%645 W · 638 L | -25.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 38c | 357.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 243 | 47.3%115 W · 128 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…2be0backed Yes | 74c | 351.52$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed No | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab08…37fabacked No | 15c | 216.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Yes | 65c | 165.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…e033backed Yes | 69c | 158.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 65c | 150.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 146.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 16c | 139.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 64c | 117.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 102.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 40c | 99.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 99.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 65c | 90.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,004 | 53.4%536 W · 468 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…da4dbacked No | 26c | 74.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 37c | 72.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 72.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 482 | 26.8%129 W · 353 L | -32.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 69.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 669 | 41.4%277 W · 392 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked No | 62c | 60.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 23c | 47.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…5981backed Yes | 54c | 44.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 42.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed No | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yes | 58c | 32.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed No | 67c | 30.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…5099backed Yes | 69c | 25.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 79c | 23.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 58c | 21.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 77c | 20.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…b07bbacked Yes | 77c | 16.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 74c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 962 | 44%423 W · 539 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 78c | 14.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…45fbbacked No | 73c | 14.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-04-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.