TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Valencia vs. Panathinaikos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panathinaikosof Valencia, Panathinaikos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Valencia64c12,497$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Valencia43c9,851$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Panathinaikos37c3,515$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.728936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panathinaikos36c3,255$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.9436939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Panathinaikos51c3,224$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.6731651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Panathinaikos57c2,545$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.75152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed Panathinaikos39c2,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4763342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panathinaikos41c2,172$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.616338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Panathinaikos35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3003063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Valencia63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.963855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e5…6199backed Valencia60c1,993$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.541844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Panathinaikos39c1,833$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.5813147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos43c1,748$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.1543543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd456…aba4backed Panathinaikos35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9753100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Valencia52c1,376$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.541154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Panathinaikos41c1,289$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.3337052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Panathinaikos40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…66a2backed Panathinaikos43c1,150$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.52580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0918…b2d5backed Valencia59c1,125$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Panathinaikos39c1,099$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Panathinaikos45c1,074$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8213650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Valencia56c1,022$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Panathinaikos54c1,018$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.7514037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Panathinaikos33c999.54$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.624841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Valencia67c909.73$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.841040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…7a4abacked Valencia76c856.12$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Valencia59c847.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Panathinaikos41c826.37$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.322030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Panathinaikos61c823.93$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.144946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bc…67e2backed Valencia64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Panathinaikos40c755.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.945230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Panathinaikos37c754.89$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.2713545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Panathinaikos56c705.05$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.289551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a06…f003backed Valencia62c699.99$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Panathinaikos39c686$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Panathinaikos39c669.13$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.22556%14 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Valencia60c662.13$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Panathinaikos38c630$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3903040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Valencia58c629.62$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3661421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Panathinaikos55c628.08$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.897042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Panathinaikos38c538.13$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.396744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Panathinaikos38c529.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.67138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia55c497.37$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8514447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf25c…a27dbacked Valencia61c491.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Panathinaikos40c450$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Panathinaikos38c434.36$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.32755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a37…6e50backed Panathinaikos39c399.89$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Valencia62c380.66$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.282937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Valencia62c372$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.641656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Valencia55c361.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Panathinaikos41c353.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Panathinaikos36c352.03$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.35949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Panathinaikos38c348$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+107.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Panathinaikos40c333.05$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.173053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Valencia49c308.65$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Panathinaikos59c307.51$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.784452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Panathinaikos39c306.12$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.586747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Panathinaikos41c300.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.771040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Panathinaikos42c289.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Panathinaikos44c285.72$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia58c268.66$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Panathinaikos37c257.75$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.751637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Panathinaikos39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.418247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Valencia61c256.15$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Valencia61c247.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502075%15 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Valencia56c237.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11b1…e033backed Panathinaikos43c233.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Valencia64c230$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.211455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Valencia50c217.82$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.893633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Valencia43c217.59$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Panathinaikos44c217.35$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7221444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Panathinaikos40c213.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Panathinaikos38c207.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.117741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Valencia48c205$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.44634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Valencia56c202.68$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.58037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Panathinaikos37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Valencia48c198.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.936642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Valencia43c197.65$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.132850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Panathinaikos39c192.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.311838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Valencia54c191.36$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Panathinaikos39c186$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Panathinaikos39c175.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.83100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+245.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Valencia46c174.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3419748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Valencia59c164.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5221535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Valencia56c162.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Valencia60c160$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969756.7%55 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Valencia64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…78f3backed Valencia65c153.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Panathinaikos40c150$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.255152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Panathinaikos37c149.44$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.63432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a57…fda1backed Valencia54c133.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Panathinaikos48c125.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Panathinaikos73c125$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7512454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Valencia63c121.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.585648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Panathinaikos34c120$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Panathinaikos48c118.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Valencia62c105.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663250%16 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1943…8b37backed Valencia56c101.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb04e…18fabacked Panathinaikos40c100.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Valencia65c95.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.