CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d32752a7fa497c88990f7d7eeb80892326b079976293b240b8d6c7c6ea1025a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed STATE | 62c | 3,351$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.8 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 54c | 786.06$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Brute | 37c | 716.39$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.75 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Brute | 43c | 695.08$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Brute | 44c | 583.22$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed Brute | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Brute | 25c | 554.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE | 65c | 317.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Brute | 50c | 305.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Brute | 59c | 274.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Brute | 33c | 248.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Brute | 55c | 231.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Brute | 48c | 213.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Brute | 55c | 211.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.07 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Brute | 28c | 194.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…326dbacked STATE | 45c | 157.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed STATE | 46c | 142.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Brute | 60c | 123.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked STATE | 44c | 101.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Brute | 56c | 98.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Brute | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed STATE | 60c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed STATE | 45c | 66.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked STATE | 78c | 54.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Brute | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Brute | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed STATE | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…c4d9backed Brute | 33c | 32.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed STATE | 63c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed STATE | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group ASTATE won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerSTATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.