TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South America Rejectsof Power Rangers, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers16c8,811$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.932,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Power Rangers17c2,299$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.3496557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Power Rangers15c2,121$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.171,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed South America Rejects67c2,090$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.9712350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Power Rangers33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9961745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…4a09backed South America Rejects80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers17c1,142$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked South America Rejects70c1,127$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.144740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Power Rangers20c1,035$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0565625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Power Rangers31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers16c826.94$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects69c730$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.341055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers14c561.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Power Rangers36c524.15$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19114157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Power Rangers40c498.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers31c484.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1769835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a9…3bb6backed Power Rangers28c427.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010546.7%49 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers17c424$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8813854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Power Rangers25c356.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed South America Rejects77c326.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6114562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects79c315.5$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2522363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked South America Rejects80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018952.9%100 W · 89 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5136761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Power Rangers35c270.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.034440.9%18 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed South America Rejects79c251.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5931644.9%142 W · 174 L-18.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8553139.5%210 W · 321 L-37.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5096245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects71c214.52$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4766848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Power Rangers22c205.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.316842.6%29 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked South America Rejects78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Power Rangers13c186.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3633945.1%153 W · 186 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects66c173.23$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.431,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Power Rangers17c168.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3256343.9%247 W · 316 L-1.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked South America Rejects65c168.13$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5217146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers19c163.06$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.311,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers21c161.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.661,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers18c158.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6367043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed Power Rangers23c156.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.355549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6933…7ea3backed Power Rangers13c156.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects73c152.05$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.081,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked South America Rejects70c142.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.869058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed Power Rangers34c133.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4414…9474backed South America Rejects67c114.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.936950.7%35 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed South America Rejects67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9422868%155 W · 73 L+15.4wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers18c109.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.271,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers19c107.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.812,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…c85abacked South America Rejects67c107.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.352965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Power Rangers16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630834.1%105 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked South America Rejects70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9fb…f9d1backed Power Rangers20c90.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.516240.7%66 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed South America Rejects69c87.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0355561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Power Rangers34c85.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Power Rangers19c74.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb308…23a6backed Power Rangers21c72.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516939.6%67 W · 102 L-15.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5ada…c921backed South America Rejects63c66.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed South America Rejects70c48.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7125253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7858250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked South America Rejects76c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1269033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed South America Rejects74c31.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.281747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects72c28.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.951,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked South America Rejects76c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7235032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed South America Rejects76c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7216837.5%63 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed South America Rejects76c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea9…b90dbacked South America Rejects76c26.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.291866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c95…6844backed South America Rejects75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects72c19.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4330647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.