Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0075e04058c84d2621c59ff8f4d8b8b2a480c6935cb81d5f3ee4c283a1017679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Power Rangers, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 16c | 8,811$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.93 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Power Rangers | 17c | 2,299$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Power Rangers | 15c | 2,121$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed South America Rejects | 67c | 2,090$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.97 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Power Rangers | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…4a09backed South America Rejects | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Power Rangers | 17c | 1,142$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked South America Rejects | 70c | 1,127$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Power Rangers | 20c | 1,035$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Power Rangers | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 16c | 826.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects | 69c | 730$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 14c | 561.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Power Rangers | 36c | 524.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Power Rangers | 40c | 498.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers | 31c | 484.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Power Rangers | 28c | 427.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Power Rangers | 17c | 424$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Power Rangers | 25c | 356.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed South America Rejects | 77c | 326.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed South America Rejects | 79c | 315.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked South America Rejects | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Power Rangers | 35c | 270.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed South America Rejects | 79c | 251.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | -18.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked South America Rejects | 71c | 214.52$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Power Rangers | 22c | 205.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked South America Rejects | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Power Rangers | 13c | 186.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 66c | 173.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Power Rangers | 17c | 168.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked South America Rejects | 65c | 168.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 19c | 163.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Power Rangers | 21c | 161.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 18c | 158.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Power Rangers | 23c | 156.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed Power Rangers | 13c | 156.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 152.05$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Power Rangers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Power Rangers | 34c | 133.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed South America Rejects | 67c | 114.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed South America Rejects | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Power Rangers | 18c | 109.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 19c | 107.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked South America Rejects | 67c | 107.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Power Rangers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked South America Rejects | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed Power Rangers | 20c | 90.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed South America Rejects | 69c | 87.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Power Rangers | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Power Rangers | 19c | 74.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Power Rangers | 21c | 72.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…c921backed South America Rejects | 63c | 66.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed South America Rejects | 70c | 48.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked South America Rejects | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked South America Rejects | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed South America Rejects | 74c | 31.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 72c | 28.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked South America Rejects | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed South America Rejects | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed South America Rejects | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea9…b90dbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 26.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…6844backed South America Rejects | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects | 72c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.