TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No36c22,204$7,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,920.681,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed No62c16,000$9,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,868.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c15,164$6,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,037.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes77c11,478$8,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.877238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Yes46c10,244$4,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.924663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.896454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c9,031$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,712.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c9,014$6,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,243.0776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No67c8,312$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,547.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No26c7,271$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.5130117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c7,216$3,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.132,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes30c6,808$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,765.5912825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes80c6,338$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.44669.6%32 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes73c5,477$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.257846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c5,118$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd71…a641backed Yes29c4,903$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,481.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes31c4,388$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,046.921,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes46c4,371$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.2538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c3,695$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.678,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No70c3,571$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a50…ed9abacked Yes30c3,370$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3591040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c3,200$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.9536250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Yes32c3,134$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.326516.9%11 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-49.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes33c3,027$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.275745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52cc…3cdfbacked Yes29c2,898$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+157.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Yes69c2,876$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.474168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes35c2,840$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.421553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes38c2,727$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.181,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c2,186$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.251,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No69c2,089$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.3341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No72c2,083$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Yes30c2,060$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4428949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No60c2,018$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.816150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2206349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40011657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0e…ba82backed Yes39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2201100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c1,972$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.8535549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed No67c1,956$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.8756410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cb…aef2backed Yes29c1,848$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c1,711$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.473,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c1,703$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x015a…5077backed Yes29c1,643$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes32c1,549$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.367229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c1,531$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.751,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0568…dc48backed No67c1,438$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.642458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c1,400$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.9838351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No62c1,356$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.0688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No70c1,272$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.111,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No72c1,270$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.9720044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No69c1,260$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No71c1,245$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.291,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No66c1,214$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80047235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.868231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes32c1,035$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.1863035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed No32c1,025$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes28c1,019$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.031,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No63c999.96$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes32c937.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.55028%14 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No65c909.97$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.4826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes46c802$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.6441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Yes60c786.36$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.662176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No25c732.05$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No34c721.69$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.745947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes29c703$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcade…1ff6backed Yes30c678.33$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.839349.5%46 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c665.89$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No66c661.94$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.882015%3 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-71.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes28c652.43$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.1625031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No68c609$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.063221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No65c600$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No70c558.32$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8223255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…9e00backed Yes37c553.38$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.631533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ecb…52a5backed Yes73c550.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.221963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…83c7backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.541957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No45c537.6$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.772,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No26c526.39$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1239933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes35c510.49$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Yes70c506.72$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.948859.1%52 W · 36 L-11.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-17.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32515048%72 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32537850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32018848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9939951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes25c499.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.9523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No65c496.11$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5135251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4a…8a46backed Yes31c484.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8512448.4%60 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No28c472.16$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7436543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1840145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes73c424.66$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.664060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Yes33c424.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.241643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No27c415.95$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.311,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes34c411$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.2643635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4113729.9%41 W · 96 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes28c402.01$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.458345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28415654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed No64c392.21$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.942962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.