TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9df3…83c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT8368.7%57 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.45
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$828.57
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$423.08
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$278.35
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$347.37
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$583.33
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$1,524.08
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$328.76
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.6
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$372.53
Cincinnati Open: Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.74
Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$307.78
Cincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$246.62
Cincinnati Open: Valentin Royer vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$68.69
Cincinnati Open: Mariano Navone vs Raphael Collignonbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$45.4
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinskibacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.62
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.34
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.86
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.56
Canadian Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.21
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.03
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$110.1
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.15
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.79
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.62
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.07
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.04
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$75.09
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.76
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.82
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$66.49
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$98.95
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.36
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,275.24
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$285.83
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$905Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$905.43
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$93.5
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.37
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$268.08
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$274.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.56
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.17
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$3.78
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,699.22
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$57.18
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.55
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.03
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$632.43
Will AC Milan vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.08
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$33.96
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$33.25
Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$23.92
US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$669.15
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$209.01
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$47.96
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+34%+$18.68
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.69
Will Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+57.4%+$27.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$6.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.