TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c13,902$8,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,900.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No2c11,282$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.6593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes23c8,696$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,695.9212950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c7,242$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.011,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed No77c7,121$5,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c6,809$4,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,308.3996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c4,555$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,276.7998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No60c4,257$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54120431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No77c3,109$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.711258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes46c2,941$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.7111964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes45c2,178$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.783732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No77c2,142$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6496346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No77c2,090$1,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.262744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No76c2,033$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.3321058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes20c2,000$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.987345.2%33 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No35c1,888$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.7617529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes23c1,519$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.0124953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No2c1,309$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.19812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-83.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes48c1,216$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes23c1,033$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79611832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No26c972$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No77c824.81$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No45c802.19$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf873…f644backed No37c798.02$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No15c782.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0124238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No62c721.32$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2211153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No3c718.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No60c590$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No20c523.26$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3652835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes23c489.65$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.039556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes23c486.96$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.963145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes24c466.67$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.672948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a1…57f4backed No16c417.22$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.677830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes23c391.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.31250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked No18c371.46$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.523531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No3c353.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.155632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No5c317$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes24c312.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.52245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked No54c304$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0322237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2282157.1%12 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No68c298$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.672630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes68c272.97$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.832352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe309…958dbacked No77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf0…0753backed No16c257.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c243$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed No72c240$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.074070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes23c240$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca0c…9c40backed No19c239.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes25c234.8$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.131441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No75c233$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.759652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked No47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c211$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes47c210.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0812929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab4…564fbacked Yes46c201.28$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.83661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes10c200$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1791833.3%6 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick10cpaid+202.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5364…31d7backed Yes77c179.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.672934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.674647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Yes26c164$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.362653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No27c150.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0511529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.832955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c129.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes79c127.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.035752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca5…a81dbacked Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes25c119.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9420741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe89…d978backed Yes23c114.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.524257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No48c114.58$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557848.7%38 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes17c111.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.389124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed No32c104.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213350.4%67 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes12c99.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No75c92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6919549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No24c87.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.333026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No40c83.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.252889.3%25 W · 3 L+7.5wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c81.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0122743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked No38c81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.024131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No63c78.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.743528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ec8…6c60backed Yes35c78.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe513…3328backed Yes46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No57c69.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.043060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes65c68.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0428931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked No49c67.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.213080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf103…fe41backed Yes74c62.63$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.