Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2896d93f3b33492a44e32a90f3356016adb7a1be4e0791305e9b3d4f269d97d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $482,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $482,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 522 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 50,352$23,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,187.32 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 38c | 46,681$17,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,015.65 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 36c | 38,938$14,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,920.33 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 64c | 35,327$22,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,540.26 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,749.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 63c | 24,020$15,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,143.11 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 37c | 21,081$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,281.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 63c | 20,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1f…e5bcbacked No | 37c | 18,500$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,604.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 63c | 18,408$11,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,597 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 16,897$6,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,645.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 42c | 14,733$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,174.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 62c | 14,085$8,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,732.7 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 59c | 10,759$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.11 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 36c | 10,157$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450.44 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 37c | 9,000$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,669.95 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 37c | 8,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.94 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 7,930$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,996.02 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 7,019$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.81 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 6,204$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.02 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 56c | 6,176$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,478.63 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 5,435$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.93 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed No | 46c | 5,050$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 37c | 4,705$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 26c | 4,134$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 36c | 4,060$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.02 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 38c | 4,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.98 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 3,974$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 3,808$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.78 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,500$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 44c | 3,000$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 36c | 2,779$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 37c | 2,600$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 63c | 2,540$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 64c | 2,322$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Yes | 63c | 2,287$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 62c | 2,250$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 39c | 2,212$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.31 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 37c | 2,110$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.48 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 63c | 1,618$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 37c | 1,600$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.28 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 68c | 1,550$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.63 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,546$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 63c | 1,465$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,433$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.24 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 62c | 1,413$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 59c | 1,367$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.52 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 63c | 1,309$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,226$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,173$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 40c | 1,054$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.86 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 38c | 1,046$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,010$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…feddbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 61c | 983.87$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 63c | 917.41$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.97 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 45c | 909.21$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 24c | 871.61$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 64c | 870$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 41c | 863.62$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 37c | 857$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.91 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 843.74$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.69 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Yes | 63c | 825.4$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 14c | 782.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.3 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 37c | 703.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 59c | 690$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 48c | 679.36$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 41c | 675$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.45 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 53c | 664.23$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 62c | 662.79$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 72c | 581.45$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…02d3backed Yes | 56c | 571.63$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed Yes | 56c | 571.59$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a98…9110backed Yes | 63c | 563.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 39c | 560$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Yes | 61c | 550$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 12c | 533.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Yes | 41c | 530$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…63d5backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…8ea3backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…0377backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f7…30febacked Yes | 57c | 480$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 52c | 471.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.