Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97cbcf4335603bbab60e04d5e31360c8baab0dba746145de44126eecc89de451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 15c | 18,405$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 18,249$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.65 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 14c | 4,891$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.72 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 14c | 4,058$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.18 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,400$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 13c | 3,001$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.16 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 15c | 2,222$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.3 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,082$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…f5b6backed Yes | 22c | 1,939$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…41cfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,888$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 20c | 1,667$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 78c | 1,372$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.8 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 19c | 1,175$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 1,026$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 6c | 830$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 725.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 717.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 679$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 14c | 657.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 24c | 647$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 15c | 611.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 14c | 599.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed No | 78c | 550$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Yes | 15c | 492.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 24c | 412.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 15c | 271.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 10c | 215.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 18c | 214.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 11c | 185.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Yes | 8c | 180.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 168.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 158.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 142.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 207 | 41.5%86 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed Yes | 21c | 129.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…2551backed Yes | 22c | 128.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 80c | 125.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 19c | 103.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 19c | 101.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bc…45c3backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 95.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 14c | 86.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 22c | 60.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 24c | 53.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…e355backed No | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…3273backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…c196backed Yes | 22c | 46.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-16?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?No won
- Will Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.