Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3117ba94a6ae1cc7156617e89ab76c00ee075bb233945970431f3d38e9a7588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $533,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 44,103$18,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,658.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 9c | 31,660$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.44 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 47c | 21,242$10,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.98 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 13,971$6,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.4 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 62c | 13,377$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 60c | 12,556$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…1f41backed Yes | 43c | 11,559$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 73c | 9,231$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Yes | 8c | 9,218$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 8c | 8,659$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.59 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 7,073$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.67 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 80c | 6,500$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 6,187$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.72 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 46c | 5,980$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.99 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Yes | 68c | 5,863$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 72c | 5,700$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…acdbbacked Yes | 9c | 5,400$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 44c | 5,249$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 4,818$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.43 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 12c | 4,649$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Yes | 13c | 4,396$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 9c | 3,704$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 63c | 3,568$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.82 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 50c | 3,517$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.62 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…0b69backed Yes | 70c | 3,295$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 3,261$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.96 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 16c | 3,153$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Yes | 31c | 2,919$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 2,797$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.22 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes | 44c | 2,689$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…437abacked Yes | 60c | 2,512$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 46c | 2,453$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.27 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 21c | 2,415$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.91 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 2,106$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Yes | 75c | 2,015$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…eccdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 75c | 1,992$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 9c | 1,886$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 1,872$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked No | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…58aabacked Yes | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 69c | 1,699$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…7357backed Yes | 59c | 1,610$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 80c | 1,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,459$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.75 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 1,448$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 17c | 1,402$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…83c7backed Yes | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,352$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 75c | 1,345$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…9b71backed Yes | 36c | 1,305$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b266backed Yes | 29c | 1,239$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 9c | 1,167$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 9c | 1,108$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 1c | 1,085$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Yes | 18c | 1,072$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,061$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…f3e8backed Yes | 41c | 1,037$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Yes | 23c | 995.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…2b8ebacked Yes | 60c | 850$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Yes | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 53c | 821.05$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 8c | 810.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 79c | 809.97$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Yes | 14c | 800$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 36c | 795.69$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes | 14c | 778.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…dd1cbacked Yes | 20c | 720.51$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 23c | 708$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.82 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 14c | 687$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…120cbacked No | 80c | 684.5$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 59c | 644.51$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.21 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed No | 59c | 607.47$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…f8c8backed Yes | 9c | 566.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e41…09b2backed Yes | 43c | 564.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 39c | 559.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 14c | 540.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.26 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 16c | 500$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 7c | 489.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked No | 16c | 482.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes | 15c | 470$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.