TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over47c200,000$93,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,992.133164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under53c100,000$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,999.932839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c37,779$19,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,834.932,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c28,023$14,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,275.6493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under53c14,500$7,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,81516045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under51c12,993$6,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,351.912475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Over0c10,796$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8723…1ccebacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under53c5,105$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.153740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c4,776$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.711,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c4,431$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.2998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c2,565$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.8552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over49c2,242$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Over49c1,919$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Under75c1,809$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7996839.7%27 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over49c1,225$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.421346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Under52c999.17$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under51c940.81$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4618251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over49c920$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.814142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under54c821.36$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4359240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c803.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Over64c775.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Under70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.431283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.565250%26 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under53c552.36$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.6116448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Over47c426.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9df3…83c7backed Under51c426.52$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.011070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over47c421.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c406.59$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1622947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over49c347.76$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.411547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over51c343.04$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9531441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Under52c311.65$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.052450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14112540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over48c294.19$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.213638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Under53c290$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over44c227.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over27c221.18$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.276924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c212.74$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.845742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14bd…1c4cbacked Over48c207.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over50c184.06$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.034235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under50c184.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0323353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Over46c175$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.52564%16 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under54c160$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Under55c158$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.12272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+74.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf92f…bdb2backed Over52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed Under53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.942646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed Over46c113.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.11540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbcec…13cabacked Under56c93.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c85.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over47c77.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6719542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Under53c71.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.759754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under61c66.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.987847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over46c62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under54c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9865…9f97backed Over51c58.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9114452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under56c56.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8115045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under59c55.84$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1624849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Over49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2717538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7994…6a86backed Under54c54.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ce…ba12backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under54c47.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8833951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over48c42.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-70.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf18…7a1abacked Under53c41.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234c…b85fbacked Over50c40.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.411546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over46c39.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3917955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over45c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6191…e505backed Over45c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick56cpaid-78.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over49c37.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.554042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over45c35.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.175131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over55c33.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Over46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over46c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511748.7%57 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.