Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf999f55fefcaf8a677e0f02b04f0f646619b88a3e6e3e5d23ff79626e923d0b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,554$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.81 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 75c | 2,400$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 2,258$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 51c | 1,976$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.19 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.11 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 26c | 1,499$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.74 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 72c | 1,284$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 71c | 1,014$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 646.09$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.15 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 62c | 637.71$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 18c | 614$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 35c | 572.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 405.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 400.04$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 72c | 400.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 377$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 25c | 345.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 74c | 302.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 252.04$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 251$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 25c | 232$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 5c | 223.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 197.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 151.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Under | 33c | 113.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 54c | 95.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 69c | 88.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 52c | 84.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 31c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 64.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 73c | 41.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 71c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 36.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 29c | 36.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 48c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 40c | 29.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9cf3backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…24dbbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 77c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…ab35backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.