Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c187d20b10d16a1bcc031af20295296c3c5a45c0df5e9971d160787b267e9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 33,455$17,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,712.62 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 30,339$14,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,562.74 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 49c | 5,226$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 52c | 2,306$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.26 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 55c | 949.35$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.21 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 50c | 780.77$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.48 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Yes | 41c | 516$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 459.23$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.97 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed No | 50c | 431.94$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 51c | 306.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 45c | 304$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Yes | 48c | 170.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 135.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 49c | 121.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 110.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 110.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed No | 58c | 107.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 49c | 102.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 51c | 102.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked No | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 96.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 84.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 51c | 73.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 69.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed No | 49c | 48.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 70c | 44.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 51c | 38.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6f…acbdbacked No | 49c | 37.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 32.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked No | 52c | 30.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 55c | 26.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 50c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Yes | 68c | 17.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.