Serie A · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa387ec478f71c0e3ce3108481a79c55c7316279f3c375f679b4c45f47b8c5e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 25,121$6,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,293.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 17,660$13,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.46 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 78c | 8,288$6,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.36 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 74c | 792.62$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.08 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 26c | 716.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 29c | 689.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 72c | 619.98$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 77c | 455.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 29c | 387.09$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 23c | 299.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Over | 20c | 276$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 265.87$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 15c | 265.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 27c | 230$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…6718backed Under | 75c | 219.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 27c | 215$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 25c | 161.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…1406backed Over | 19c | 157.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 17c | 116.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 28c | 94.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 41c | 87.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 24c | 82.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 26c | 66.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 28c | 63.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 22c | 60.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 74c | 55.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7805…ead7backed Under | 75c | 53.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…d22cbacked Under | 80c | 49.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 65c | 42.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 34.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 72c | 26.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…549cbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6f…acbdbacked Under | 65c | 18.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 71c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.