TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc820…9e00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Tavernabacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$109.07
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonaldbacked Ella McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jonesbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$135.24
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigatobacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+65%+$331.29
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$155.79
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$570
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Cattolica: Pierluigi Basile vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$208.68
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$297.09
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donskibacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Birmingham: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$205.87
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$113.51
Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Rodionovbacked Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$47.86
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$97.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.33
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$348.63
Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.01
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$38.71
Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.83
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$168.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.