Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048308dda688016a68784d6709f6050cb33dd32ce6b25a5328c08c31e45af6dd

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,233

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,369 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	26c	3,677$952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$951.83	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	29c	3,516$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.63	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	74c	2,699$1,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.38	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed No	71c	2,552$1,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$740.23	349	64.5%225 W · 124 L	+73.5wins	+0.21per pick	43cpaid	+123.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	73c	2,307$1,686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.75	199	39.7%79 W · 120 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No	73c	1,906$1,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.92	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes	27c	1,617$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.58	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	75c	1,463$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.62	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	77c	1,399$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.49	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Yes	36c	1,390$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	66c	1,388$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477.87	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes	34c	1,258$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.38	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc820…9e00backed Yes	25c	1,132$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.01	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No	75c	881.58$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.8	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	73c	774.54$565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.11	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	26c	590.24$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.51	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Yes	17c	479.6$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.19	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+5.6wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	78c	447.27$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.44	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	76c	445.26$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.72	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes	24c	432.44$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.83	283	26.1%74 W · 209 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked No	74c	384.1$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.87	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	27c	367.42$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	28c	355.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	+8.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes	32c	305$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.82	147	38.8%57 W · 90 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes	28c	303.94$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.35	265	34%90 W · 175 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No	73c	264.42$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.22	169	37.3%63 W · 106 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	21c	253.09$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.71	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	67c	250.96$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.72	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes	22c	250$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	127	29.9%38 W · 89 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	76c	237.63$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.51	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No	76c	210.39$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.13	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No	73c	205.94$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.6	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	76c	200.94$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.68	484	38.2%185 W · 299 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked No	74c	192.02$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.73	275	54.5%150 W · 125 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes	16c	180$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	67c	164.13$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.38	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes	31c	160.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No	80c	160.18$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.04	229	51.1%117 W · 112 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	68c	159$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.65	459	47.7%219 W · 240 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes	18c	153$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	162	34.6%56 W · 106 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes	24c	151.01$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	575	41.7%240 W · 335 L	-20.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No	79c	145.02$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.87	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	184	35.3%65 W · 119 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed No	76c	129.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	103	54.4%56 W · 47 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a338backed No	76c	129.98$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.2	86	51.2%44 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	22c	123.73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa433…882cbacked Yes	14c	113.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+216.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e34…9434backed No	68c	113.32$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.26	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes	17c	112.64$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes	35c	107.22$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	22c	104.17$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.13	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes	20c	93.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	298	46%137 W · 161 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed No	75c	92$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No	75c	80$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	150	59.3%89 W · 61 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes	17c	78.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.42	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes	33c	75.76$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	67c	73.48$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked No	73c	66.69$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	122	52.5%64 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No	71c	65.3$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.83	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	178	51.1%91 W · 87 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd65a…7ec4backed No	66c	60.58$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.6	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes	32c	60$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed No	72c	58.91$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	55	63.6%35 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	67c	51.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.16	450	39.6%178 W · 272 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked No	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	238	44.1%105 W · 133 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No	72c	49$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.72	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb74…090dbacked Yes	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No	78c	44.35$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.98	307	51.1%157 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No	78c	41.86$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.21	414	51.4%213 W · 201 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+41.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf8b…276abacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+45%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	236	33.9%80 W · 156 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd366…0184backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a3…9e97backed Yes	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No	72c	39.28$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No	77c	36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-8.4wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes	32c	32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	177	37.9%67 W · 110 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5832…df89backed No	72c	26.75$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.49	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No	78c	20.92$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d32…401cbacked No	79c	20.28$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.26	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed No	80c	20.02$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No	77c	19.98$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1771…dbdebacked No	73c	19.11$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.24	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd654…0a18backed No	78c	18.37$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	76cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed No	70c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.83	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No	77c	13.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.19	167	58.7%98 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed No	79c	12.66$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.66	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?this page
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Venezuela vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event