Fifa International · resolved market
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf6b683cf976c3c1a3b2043566f7fd892867a108e8669d34d8431673295ef7ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 1,170$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.87 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 48c | 385$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 75c | 319.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 276.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.9 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 49c | 246.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 50c | 242.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 159.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 52c | 154.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 78c | 142.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 46c | 133.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…9e00backed No | 23c | 131.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 113.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 51c | 103.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 50c | 99.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked No | 49c | 99.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 50c | 98.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 49c | 80.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 45c | 79.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 54c | 78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 62c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 36.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…bbd5backed Yes | 50c | 30.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 53c | 28.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 49c | 24.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 49c | 24.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…ad22backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…f953backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 54c | 19.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 18.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 58c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Venezuela won
- Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Venezuela won
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5Over won
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5Over won
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5Over won
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5Under won
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5Under won
- Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.