TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Under18c12,014$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.4817748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c5,304$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.6329232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over54c4,688$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.3114866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40646.3%4 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c2,982$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.012,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over55c2,503$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.2559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Under2c2,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45547.4%4 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+123.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over55c2,371$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30952.1%2 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c2,215$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.522,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under1c2,200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over57c1,767$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.921526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over80c1,668$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Over78c1,581$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.264858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Under1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20200%0 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under32c1,487$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under47c1,479$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.953759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c1,151$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.331,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over71c925.47$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.024,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over67c893.83$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.882,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over57c877.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36061750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over55c799.87$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9414146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Under50c700.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c700$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31538351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c680.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.236250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c620.91$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.532,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over72c570$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c476.61$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.228964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over63c464.48$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over68c442.45$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under33c314.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13535251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over55c296.71$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.524949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.785444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11739951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over54c255.71$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.911632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c254.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.431,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Under40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under45c240$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10840848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under50c228$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.425232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over51c227.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.71,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac5…2ccabacked Over54c226.35$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.123339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under30c215.61$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.74,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009849%48 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8024555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.199462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under36c184.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over54c182.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0213253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-69.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under45c167.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1641451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under15c160.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7235451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over73c159.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6563151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under45c156$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.237452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under16c154$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4911238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under46c154$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3318435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8611027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6337051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98cb…26bcbacked Over55c119.79$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.962937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505125.5%13 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33e7…4450backed Over54c92.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.752040%8 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c84$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.633,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over49c83.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.524840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under31c79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4922421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Under42c78.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.946160.7%37 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf21b…c816backed Over55c78.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.181936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under39c71.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2790840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd42c…51adbacked Under32c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under27c69.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under44c67.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0123858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under18c66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under46c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5241344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over52c58.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.851,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5610241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.128240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under46c54.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0525454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.519540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.922052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over73c47.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.172138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.36943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.382340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadcb…c2bebacked Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over58c40.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7319862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over52c39.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.398158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1693542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c34.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e7e…00a7backed Under39c33.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over77c33.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.