TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Venezuelaof Türkiye, Venezuela
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe911…3d4ebacked Türkiye31c3,775$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Venezuela66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9815459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Türkiye40c1,800$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9811147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Venezuela79c1,509$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.254,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Venezuela61c1,393$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.711,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Türkiye38c1,307$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Türkiye46c1,210$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.242,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Türkiye32c1,164$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Venezuela66c1,100$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3741258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…7df6backed Türkiye37c877.85$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.627755.8%43 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Venezuela63c857.62$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Venezuela61c852.52$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Venezuela61c837.4$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.071,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Venezuela49c763.96$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.71,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Türkiye38c756.32$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.771,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Türkiye35c625.36$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.8311632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Türkiye33c604.55$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Türkiye40c597.35$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Venezuela60c587.14$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Türkiye60c587.02$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.524940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Venezuela65c493.63$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.773956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Türkiye38c466.69$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.292,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Venezuela69c438.36$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb885…e677backed Türkiye37c434.62$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Türkiye29c426.74$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.31,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Türkiye39c329.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Venezuela61c327.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.685143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Venezuela64c294.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.373,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Venezuela62c279.78$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6635549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Türkiye26c263$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Venezuela60c231.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Venezuela60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Venezuela62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7622656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Türkiye28c194.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1660752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Venezuela60c185.31$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.532,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Türkiye34c143.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0d…337dbacked Venezuela66c131.12$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.531560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Venezuela61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.823732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Venezuela64c117.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.139456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Venezuela70c99.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Türkiye32c98.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.641,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Venezuela61c98.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Venezuela64c91.48$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7422951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b1…8e43backed Venezuela68c83.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Türkiye37c80.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.933354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Venezuela61c79.4$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Venezuela61c77.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Türkiye30c74.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2351250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d6e…2175backed Türkiye39c71.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Venezuela49c71.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4323658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Türkiye28c71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Türkiye35c67.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.95563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Venezuela64c67.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0363745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Türkiye46c65.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Türkiye40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Venezuela49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Venezuela65c60.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Venezuela68c56.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Venezuela62c52.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1122052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Venezuela49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.57749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Türkiye39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Türkiye30c46.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x17ac…6347backed Türkiye33c45.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc85…aa54backed Venezuela63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.689359.1%55 W · 38 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Venezuela64c38.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.949956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Venezuela65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5935954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Venezuela70c37.14$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1433345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Venezuela77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.365540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Venezuela68c29.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.556251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e5…03fcbacked Venezuela73c26.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Venezuela60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Venezuela61c24.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7113158.8%77 W · 54 L+26.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+82.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Venezuela62c24.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4711360.2%68 W · 45 L+22.2wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+63.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9bc8…2a51backed Venezuela62c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Venezuela62c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.319356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Venezuela62c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.312156.2%68 W · 53 L+19.7wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Venezuela62c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.314260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Venezuela62c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.310761.7%66 W · 41 L+20.4wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+66.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4b5a…39e0backed Venezuela62c24.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…7e0abacked Venezuela73c24.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Venezuela61c23.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Venezuela61c22.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9836045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Venezuela48c22.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4411448.2%55 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd44…1e6ebacked Venezuela69c20.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.234868.8%33 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Venezuela65c19.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8114653.4%78 W · 68 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e65…d1d3backed Venezuela62c19.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.423174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.