TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over36c6,092$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20011820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c2,369$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.482,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over30c2,189$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.671,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over31c2,174$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c2,000$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.345421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Under51c1,938$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over43c1,587$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c1,520$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c1,349$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.821,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over46c947.28$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under67c910$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.326454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over61c863.13$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.4537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under70c837$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under51c727.45$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.451283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over31c697$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1811238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over27c509.56$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under69c493.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over30c489.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.452,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under56c459.82$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13238451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Over74c371.53$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.484858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under68c367$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.442,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under68c367$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.442,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…40adbacked Over49c345.25$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.743923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b25…d90dbacked Under79c343.24$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.391181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under58c343.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2216153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over48c311.87$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2511632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9935352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under74c287$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5127931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under67c260$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.839951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c258.51$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.141,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under56c250.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.739454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under67c240$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.240848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over74c216.58$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3212250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over44c209.52$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over39c193.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Under55c177.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.923740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under66c172.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507219.4%14 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under35c159.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.385550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under67c156$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4834851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over63c154.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.974949%24 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under33c150.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.821,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under67c140$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.237051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over40c123.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under68c115.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.081,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce38…2513backed Over35c115.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under43c113.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1638439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over54c113.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under75c106.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0156151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under67c105.51$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3333653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3337753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Under52c96.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3139752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under53c80.43$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9790840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.417557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Under62c79.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9724840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Over21c74.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.77354.8%40 W · 33 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under28c72.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.731,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.842,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Over26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.214335.7%51 W · 92 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.912252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Over50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.927953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under36c55.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under36c55.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4735549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Over42c52.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7554859.5%326 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over67c49.28$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9169744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over25c46.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5635954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Under55c44.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2429846%137 W · 161 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8614766%97 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over58c40.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8219862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8249…9169backed Over64c40.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under32c40.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6122052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5c…41f3backed Under52c38.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c35.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.531,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over55c32.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8511355.8%63 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c32.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.578,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over65c30.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7325125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Under41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74045%18 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under68c29.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4218435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Under36c28.57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.283265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over41c25.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6246562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Under59c20.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3320968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.642352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3a…1ff8backed Over70c19.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410241.2%42 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab4…f8c6backed Under73c19.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.183259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over74c15.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8511364.6%73 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.