Fifa International · resolved market
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0749a30a43628aa05f6c309b3838f8f238214026d04d9c3c144e3c3f5d5350f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 5,563$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.46 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 4,450$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.45 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 14c | 3,023$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.39 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,639$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 75c | 2,626$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.6 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 2,602$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.51 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 13c | 1,005$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 41c | 843.02$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.38 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No | 76c | 696.51$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 13c | 559.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 12c | 493.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…9e00backed Yes | 18c | 449.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 398.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 25c | 235.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 10c | 185.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 11c | 183.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 14c | 153.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…b33bbacked Yes | 13c | 152.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 15c | 134.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 129.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 74c | 123.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 75c | 122.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 9c | 120.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 11c | 103.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 25c | 87.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 75c | 70.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Yes | 17c | 65.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 75c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…fd85backed No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed No | 75c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 75c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw?this page
- Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
- Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.