TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andre Ilagan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Andre Ilagan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Andre Ilagan17c10,264$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.8866949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Andre Ilagan17c7,451$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.978,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Andre Ilagan6c5,480$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3192,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Andre Ilagan19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033037.3%123 W · 207 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Andre Ilagan20c3,028$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.64,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Andre Ilagan22c2,693$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.51,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Andre Ilagan20c2,632$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3248842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andre Ilagan16c2,181$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.4711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Adam Walton79c2,112$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.881,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Andre Ilagan20c2,105$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.7343743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Andre Ilagan10c1,917$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011028.2%31 W · 79 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e07…a3f9backed Andre Ilagan11c1,806$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Andre Ilagan17c1,318$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0257321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Andre Ilagan15c1,317$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5410834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Andre Ilagan19c1,272$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.173,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Andre Ilagan17c1,235$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21071725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Adam Walton78c1,205$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.71,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Andre Ilagan15c943.73$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.841,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Andre Ilagan22c926.09$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7450442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Andre Ilagan6c839.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d66…6ed9backed Andre Ilagan19c758.92$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1780%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…9e00backed Andre Ilagan14c586.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802556%14 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Andre Ilagan22c563.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Andre Ilagan23c546$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5845744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Andre Ilagan14c441.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.821,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Andre Ilagan14c422$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0842125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Andre Ilagan21c420.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.233,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Andre Ilagan23c416.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74d8…cd07backed Andre Ilagan7c399.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-78.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Andre Ilagan18c392.53$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.773,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Adam Walton80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7530235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Andre Ilagan25c342.16$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Andre Ilagan19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5744442.3%188 W · 256 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Andre Ilagan18c272.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Adam Walton77c261.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1759165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Adam Walton79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1652155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9965…c783backed Adam Walton79c251.89$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.92673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Adam Walton79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.51,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Andre Ilagan17c248.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.692,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Andre Ilagan27c240$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Adam Walton79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8740554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Andre Ilagan20c187.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.573748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Andre Ilagan19c183.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9538952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…5d44backed Andre Ilagan17c172.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.295514.5%8 W · 47 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andre Ilagan19c169$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.546,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Adam Walton77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8484968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Andre Ilagan16c149.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9485742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Andre Ilagan19c148$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1215754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Andre Ilagan19c141.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.894926.5%13 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Andre Ilagan17c130.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.292138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x924d…d117backed Adam Walton80c125.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2029…49a3backed Andre Ilagan20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-27.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Adam Walton74c120.63$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6344949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Andre Ilagan21c119.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Andre Ilagan17c119.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.292,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…8a0dbacked Andre Ilagan20c109.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.283333.3%11 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Andre Ilagan24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Andre Ilagan20c100.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7938741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Andre Ilagan19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1970729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Andre Ilagan19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Andre Ilagan22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Andre Ilagan23c89.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Andre Ilagan17c82.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.326,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Andre Ilagan22c80$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Andre Ilagan19c78.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.019151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Adam Walton74c76.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Andre Ilagan22c71.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Andre Ilagan24c70$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.985637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Andre Ilagan30c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.755941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5be0…d25cbacked Adam Walton74c67.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.462378.3%18 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Adam Walton78c67$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7492674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Adam Walton79c65.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.747562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Andre Ilagan20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.971,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df5…882fbacked Adam Walton78c59.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Andre Ilagan20c56.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3226849.3%132 W · 136 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Andre Ilagan19c56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6455748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Andre Ilagan21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1381457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Adam Walton79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9771165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Adam Walton77c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9812659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Adam Walton80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Adam Walton75c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7525858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Adam Walton77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.668951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64fc…9b30backed Adam Walton77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.483865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b3…ba3bbacked Adam Walton79c15.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.234658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.