F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a016382dfdd16a4c2275ffa66add65c615ca9edb61e3f7521aa11b821cedbc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 38c | 6,148$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.74 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 65c | 1,370$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.73 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 57c | 1,179$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…94c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,050$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 942.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 741.43$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.89 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 2c | 696.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2df…5208backed Yes | 34c | 667.2$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 52c | 659.01$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.12 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked No | 65c | 625$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 459.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb80b…b047backed Yes | 31c | 443.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 71c | 383.18$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 33c | 368.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…9e00backed Yes | 74c | 255.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 58c | 231$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 20c | 187.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 68c | 161.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 12c | 159.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…1d03backed Yes | 77c | 127.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 55c | 126.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 60c | 113.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 109.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…40abbacked Yes | 50c | 96.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 50c | 94.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…438dbacked Yes | 23c | 93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 48c | 87.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 56c | 87.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…f91bbacked No | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 63c | 63.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…7d4bbacked Yes | 39c | 62.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Yes | 68c | 53.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 33c | 53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…4eb0backed No | 79c | 49.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed No | 68c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…625fbacked Yes | 43c | 40.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 37c | 29.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…8ccdbacked No | 58c | 25.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.