F1 · resolved market
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ad263a2443bfe3f94890f339e644ac19eed06b6bd8b35a6d4b96365fa3669b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 23c | 4,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…b686backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,732$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 20c | 1,047$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 910.06$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 57c | 790.25$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 71c | 477.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 80c | 458.47$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 80c | 411.21$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 15c | 351.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 44c | 348.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.4 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 24c | 318.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 53c | 292.77$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 23c | 283.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Yes | 56c | 278.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 8c | 216.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 43c | 196.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…11debacked Yes | 8c | 186.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 52c | 174.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed No | 24c | 171.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 13c | 145.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Yes | 77c | 143.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 26c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed No | 15c | 136.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…a588backed No | 13c | 114.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…2953backed Yes | 39c | 111.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed Yes | 39c | 102.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 40c | 99.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…35f4backed Yes | 80c | 96.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…8739backed Yes | 30c | 94.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked No | 44c | 91.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b46…625fbacked No | 61c | 65.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 79c | 62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 49c | 55.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…e48fbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 61c | 48.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed No | 69c | 34.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 32.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed No | 67c | 28.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed No | 62c | 27.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0990…dda3backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…f240backed Yes | 75c | 18.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…1cf0backed Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…7edfbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Liam Lawson finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.