TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Niger win on 2026-06-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfaa…2814backed Yes33c7,912$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c5,930$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.854,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No67c5,332$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.381,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes18c3,283$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes26c3,210$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8261711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-71.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c05…9e9fbacked Yes26c2,621$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.56214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-85.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No76c2,319$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No69c1,876$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.373,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,351$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef6…43f4backed Yes30c1,312$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,151$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No69c1,114$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.081,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c951.17$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.351,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c881.5$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.191,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes27c846$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.425550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes31c786.37$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.1941968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No66c784.35$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.683354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes34c729.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c708.37$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.074,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…9e00backed Yes28c647.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed No69c647.65$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.771758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c609.24$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbc…96a1backed Yes26c478.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.451838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c457.29$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.741,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a0…978fbacked No70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No65c409.11$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.137644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Yes26c404.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.268949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No66c399.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.161,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes29c378.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6769744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c361.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.222,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No68c355.82$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11519939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No71c318.83$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No68c277.77$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed Yes36c277.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7710354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed No75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.59653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No66c262.18$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1465651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c260.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.612,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c248.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.518,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes30c230.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.863,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fa…26d9backed Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc51…30d7backed Yes31c215.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.922128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes31c214.43$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7416937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No69c212$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7881554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes16c185.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6513145%59 W · 72 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Yes25c185.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.342048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked No71c175.51$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4733245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27eb…0232backed Yes12c175$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a31…dc23backed Yes34c146.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes33c137.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3722466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No68c135.46$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes28c133.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3911745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Yes9c132$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82f…aba0backed Yes29c130.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389552.6%50 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes31c119.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.615335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fb…4aa6backed Yes30c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0194…e3c5backed Yes17c114.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010942.2%46 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No75c111.34$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0863151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3acc…399ebacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked No77c110.31$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.374647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450c…3863backed Yes33c105.97$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.971241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab5…f5bebacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017051.8%88 W · 82 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275347.2%25 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba02…c556backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No68c94.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1984751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Yes31c93.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.957542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes34c88.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked No69c86.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8622931%71 W · 158 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes30c82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5463745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cab…db1dbacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513339.1%52 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3b…0533backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…b237backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209046.7%42 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf9c…f77dbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…a4d7backed Yes33c60.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…1297backed Yes34c59.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d25…433dbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes33c58.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No68c56.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.871,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb6…c187backed No77c55.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.964479.5%35 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26a7…4fbabacked Yes28c55.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.48650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x924d…d117backed Yes26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdf…e663backed No75c53.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No69c52.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c52.41$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2535549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da6…0baabacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…35f9backed No70c49.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.99366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2b…769cbacked Yes35c45.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No66c40.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9520862%129 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Yes30c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No67c36.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0430751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a60…2889backed Yes32c34.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.149625%24 W · 72 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b2…c115backed Yes35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122556%14 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.