Fifa International · resolved market
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4686a815e83ebd6e26be285e303c6c848950844fec8d00f582012eebd4614588
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 2,059$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,046$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.88 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 35c | 1,432$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.06 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 847.77$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.84 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 846.98$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 685$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…9e00backed Yes | 41c | 367.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 349$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 7c | 335.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 69c | 223.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 33c | 212.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…7af1backed Yes | 33c | 210.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 206.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 69c | 185.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 16c | 168.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 133.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 70c | 133.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 48c | 131.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 106.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 77c | 103.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 99.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 94.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Yes | 45c | 65.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 45.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 70c | 38.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf52…d3c9backed Yes | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 28.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 69c | 19.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 71c | 18.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw?this page
- Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
- Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.