Fifa International · resolved market
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x125b63b1c5529cac4be08cf0e0473e1b68f655902b45be523fadf808a1192741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 30c | 2,031$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.33 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 70c | 1,734$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.07 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 1,610$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 18c | 1,562$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 31c | 920.37$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.29 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 71c | 841.61$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 3c | 751.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 69c | 584.11$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 31c | 491.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 33c | 387$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 382.71$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.56 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 266.42$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 34c | 255.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 5c | 237.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 207.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…573abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 33c | 173.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 154.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 16c | 151.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 77c | 151$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 34c | 127.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 111.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 17c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 37c | 103.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Yes | 31c | 99.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 86.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 28c | 70.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 70c | 62.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154d…6bf9backed Yes | 33c | 57.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 56.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 46.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 69c | 35.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 72c | 34.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 32.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 75c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 72c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 63c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 69c | 22.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 68c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 66c | 17.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw?No won
- Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.