Fifa International · resolved market
Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ae64d218eae70a10bea6b218963233d56243d65e5a12972b74be91bae72f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 59c | 4,699$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.22 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 42c | 2,474$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,682$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.11 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 9c | 1,529$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.34 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 6c | 1,350$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 1,265$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.16 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,117$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 42c | 999.73$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 63c | 802.01$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 40c | 737.53$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.52 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 64c | 569.5$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 73c | 553.54$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Yes | 37c | 543.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 14c | 462.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 438.43$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 434.77$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 60c | 420.67$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 410.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 39c | 400.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 39c | 385.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.82 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 379.83$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 67c | 307$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 45c | 305.04$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 26c | 303.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 273.73$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 203.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 59c | 200$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 77c | 194.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 190$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 42c | 151.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 41c | 131$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed No | 58c | 114.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 60c | 97.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…dc61backed No | 59c | 75.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 40c | 66.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Yes | 69c | 62.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Yes | 42c | 58.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 47.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…3ab4backed Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…2889backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…a0f6backed No | 61c | 28.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes | 70c | 27.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 70c | 25.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 78c | 22.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…a913backed No | 59c | 21.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 21.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liberia win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw?No won
- Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.