TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa0cd…7af1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistajabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex Molcanbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Naoya Hondabacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Miyazaki: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$32.79
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$158.33
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Indonesia vs Sweden: Indonesia vs Swedenbacked Indonesia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.