TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf720…4599backed Yes78c23,414$18,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,295.633330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes56c10,134$5,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.046344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x083c…3f02backed No44c9,829$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.412673.1%19 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Yes54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05010833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No47c4,952$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.6214342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No45c4,766$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.0920044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79bd…5c31backed No46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes56c3,694$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.372,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No51c2,537$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.0193542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes53c2,349$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.921,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed No13c2,200$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+224.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No14c2,200$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked No14c2,100$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed No21c1,980$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No43c1,937$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd841…64cabacked Yes59c1,935$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.798461.9%52 W · 32 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bb2…95e4backed Yes59c1,855$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.741369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb9…ba87backed No17c1,800$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+200%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes12c1,782$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2141,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes59c1,696$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c1,578$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.933,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c1,490$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed No14c1,460$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d5…7146backed No14c1,460$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked No14c1,460$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+224.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No42c1,393$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.771,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes57c1,390$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked No14c1,369$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.661921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No43c1,279$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.0447235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c1,260$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.592,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc9…1ca3backed Yes58c1,260$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7306264.5%40 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked No18c1,200$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes58c1,184$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.773644.4%16 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed No45c1,156$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.75563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5805242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed No15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85013813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.996349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed No51c999.95$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c838.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6730117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No17c800$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6651233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+126.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No38c776.96$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.713354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes65c774.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No40c735.58$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.781,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No45c701.01$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.931,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No43c697.65$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6643635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c696.03$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No45c675$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.257458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked No44c666$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.962650%13 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No69c638.49$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7751429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes57c636.77$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9651228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes22c601.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked No20c600$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+154.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x062a…30f7backed No20c600$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Yes56c578.16$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.155450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed No79c536.8$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.812965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes31c511.05$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.732,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes9c500$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa670…55d2backed No41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.74211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No45c483.63$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.991,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes4c477.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.784623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No41c472$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4813643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No42c467$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8610335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes51c463.18$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3635549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes49c448.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No51c427.33$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2112,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Yes47c424.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.151758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c420.61$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.311,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No79c416.17$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fc…8c88backed No15c400$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes39c399.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No44c399.97$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.981,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2d…d3f9backed Yes21c398.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Yes60c331.02$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.614143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb876…d9c3backed Yes30c329.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994926.5%13 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes55c309.64$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ad…795fbacked No15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No74c290.04$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.399061.1%55 W · 35 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes60c286.58$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17140145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes50c284.48$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5110253.9%55 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff6…2712backed Yes61c282.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.494346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Yes62c280$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.62222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c278.05$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9384844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No66c275.03$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.511,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes13c273.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.332,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes58c269.26$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1714564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes53c256$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.681,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes18c239.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.892,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes58c238.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Yes67c223.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2212143%52 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No67c219$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5334845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1635…55d6backed Yes56c216.59$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.292369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No49c215.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6841968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No45c211.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5925454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.