Fifa International · resolved market
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2e83f5fec0715ab73d3119ca0366e22c5ad3915743c3e13282339251c68c40a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 17,835$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 16,607$9,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,873.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…f90bbacked Yes | 52c | 9,111$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.72 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…be06backed No | 48c | 9,111$4,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.72 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 50c | 5,736$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 56c | 5,210$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.81 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes | 80c | 4,076$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.12 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 58c | 4,008$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,882$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,575$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 53c | 2,505$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.05 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 41c | 2,473$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.55 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 49c | 2,109$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.1 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 57c | 1,900$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 58c | 1,441$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 42c | 1,290$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.2 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 57c | 1,282$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.53 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 40c | 1,250$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 60c | 1,224$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.28 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 1,133$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.52 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 28c | 1,010$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.82 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 909.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…b2efbacked Yes | 59c | 850$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…5518backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 839.85$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.51 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 44c | 835.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 52c | 789.77$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.26 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 42c | 742$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.73 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 41c | 731.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 708.79$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 41c | 658.51$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.52 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 49c | 636.59$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked No | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 584.69$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.48 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 41c | 560.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 30c | 548.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 11c | 537.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.64 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 40c | 532.89$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 58c | 479.08$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.87 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 41c | 479$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 57c | 468.08$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 466.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 33c | 454$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +25.9wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +129%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 67c | 454$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked No | 26c | 396.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 41c | 379.67$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 24c | 378$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 41c | 361.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 357.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.13 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 342.26$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…b13cbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 12c | 324.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked No | 30c | 312.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 365 | 43.3%158 W · 207 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 59c | 310.73$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…acebbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 41c | 271.22$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 33c | 264.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 59c | 261.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 41c | 258.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 253.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf12…76debacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 47c | 239.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked No | 33c | 230.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed No | 71c | 224$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 47c | 221.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 39c | 217.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 211.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 203.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 41c | 202.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 24c | 193$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 52c | 191.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 49c | 189.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 6c | 185.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 18c | 182.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Yes | 57c | 180.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 61c | 179.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…520fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 51c | 171.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…7af1backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…d9c3backed Yes | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked No | 40c | 164$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…1d9bbacked Yes | 58c | 159.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 59c | 155.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 150.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 11c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.