Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Naoya Honda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64551721b4f3cef2bdbe33c44294c2df77560640b758834e92f82360dc0ae9ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blake Ellisof Blake Ellis, Naoya Honda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…fab9backed Naoya Honda | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Blake Ellis | 47c | 6,815$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.84 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Blake Ellis | 32c | 6,702$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,554.18 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Blake Ellis | 59c | 6,389$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.86 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Naoya Honda | 58c | 6,061$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Naoya Honda | 64c | 4,336$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.04 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Naoya Honda | 62c | 4,017$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.79 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Naoya Honda | 38c | 3,682$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Blake Ellis | 34c | 3,401$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.09 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Naoya Honda | 52c | 2,974$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.96 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Naoya Honda | 56c | 2,426$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.41 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Blake Ellis | 41c | 2,414$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.47 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Naoya Honda | 70c | 2,227$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Naoya Honda | 58c | 2,012$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.92 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blake Ellis | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Naoya Honda | 51c | 1,880$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.84 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Naoya Honda | 42c | 1,830$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.85 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…ed6dbacked Blake Ellis | 31c | 1,805$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Naoya Honda | 51c | 1,629$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.72 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Blake Ellis | 52c | 1,565$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Blake Ellis | 64c | 1,563$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.76 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Blake Ellis | 31c | 1,513$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.05 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Blake Ellis | 42c | 1,396$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.28 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed Blake Ellis | 40c | 1,388$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.23 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Blake Ellis | 48c | 1,275$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.31 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Naoya Honda | 53c | 1,272$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Naoya Honda | 60c | 1,254$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.09 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Blake Ellis | 27c | 1,108$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.8 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Naoya Honda | 49c | 1,046$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.83 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Blake Ellis | 29c | 1,022$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.33 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Blake Ellis | 31c | 1,016$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.16 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Blake Ellis | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blake Ellis | 46c | 896.6$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.94 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Blake Ellis | 50c | 892.1$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.1 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Blake Ellis | 64c | 876.21$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.02 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Blake Ellis | 69c | 775.09$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.65 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Naoya Honda | 72c | 764.04$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Blake Ellis | 58c | 755.03$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Naoya Honda | 59c | 719.8$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Naoya Honda | 69c | 550.8$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…55d4backed Naoya Honda | 64c | 548.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Blake Ellis | 37c | 544.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.12 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Naoya Honda | 36c | 449.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.59 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Naoya Honda | 67c | 446.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Naoya Honda | 68c | 442.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…c880backed Blake Ellis | 38c | 415.52$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Naoya Honda | 48c | 415$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Blake Ellis | 23c | 390$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Naoya Honda | 61c | 353$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.63 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Blake Ellis | 33c | 351.82$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Naoya Honda | 74c | 340.41$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Naoya Honda | 58c | 331.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Blake Ellis | 30c | 320.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.3 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Naoya Honda | 47c | 311.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Blake Ellis | 41c | 303.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Blake Ellis | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Blake Ellis | 35c | 296.42$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.67 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Blake Ellis | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…d883backed Blake Ellis | 37c | 261.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…86afbacked Naoya Honda | 77c | 258$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Naoya Honda | 55c | 257$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Blake Ellis | 46c | 231$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Blake Ellis | 44c | 228.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.41 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Naoya Honda | 54c | 227$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Naoya Honda | 58c | 224.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Naoya Honda | 51c | 217.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Naoya Honda | 33c | 198.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319b…d4d5backed Blake Ellis | 48c | 196.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Blake Ellis | 32c | 196.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naoya Honda | 17c | 193.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Naoya Honda | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Naoya Honda | 42c | 181.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Naoya Honda | 54c | 180.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Blake Ellis | 36c | 180.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…d6a7backed Blake Ellis | 40c | 179.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Naoya Honda | 40c | 176.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blake Ellis | 37c | 175.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Blake Ellis | 54c | 170.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Naoya Honda | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Blake Ellis | 32c | 156.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Naoya Honda | 65c | 151.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blake Ellis | 46c | 150.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…0f5ebacked Naoya Honda | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Naoya Honda | 50c | 149$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Naoya Honda | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blake Ellis | 62c | 146.72$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Blake Ellis | 64c | 140.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Blake Ellis | 69c | 138.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Naoya Honda | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Naoya Honda | 61c | 135.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Blake Ellis | 44c | 131.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Blake Ellis | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 306 | 53.3%163 W · 143 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Naoya Honda | 47c | 126.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Blake Ellis | 69c | 123.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…7af1backed Blake Ellis | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naoya Honda | 64c | 115.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…8f95backed Naoya Honda | 42c | 102.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Naoya Honda | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Naoya Honda | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Blake Ellis | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.