TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miyazaki: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Paul Jubb

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paul Jubbof Ryotaro Taguchi, Paul Jubb
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Paul Jubb70c19,644$13,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,884.077,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Ryotaro Taguchi23c15,868$3,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,606.837741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ryotaro Taguchi21c10,752$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.052,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Paul Jubb80c10,500$8,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.552,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Ryotaro Taguchi62c7,111$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,408.837854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Ryotaro Taguchi23c5,492$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.415826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Paul Jubb76c4,240$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0163655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ryotaro Taguchi5c4,133$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.168,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Paul Jubb78c4,085$3,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.7765558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ryotaro Taguchi22c2,608$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.093,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Paul Jubb45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10019835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Paul Jubb58c1,550$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.669,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Paul Jubb79c1,298$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.861,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Ryotaro Taguchi20c1,295$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3224634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Paul Jubb71c1,224$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8841544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ryotaro Taguchi64c1,222$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.444,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Ryotaro Taguchi46c1,186$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ryotaro Taguchi27c1,086$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.2199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryotaro Taguchi54c1,027$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.994,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Ryotaro Taguchi7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Ryotaro Taguchi45c863$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1634744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Ryotaro Taguchi39c782.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.832,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Paul Jubb43c697.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.9111245.5%51 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed Paul Jubb45c690.86$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.324055%22 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Paul Jubb76c625.43$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.17755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Ryotaro Taguchi57c618.35$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Ryotaro Taguchi36c593.2$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.161,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Ryotaro Taguchi61c560$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.964065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Ryotaro Taguchi40c540$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.4969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Paul Jubb77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1152564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paul Jubb73c443.46$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.882,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ryotaro Taguchi57c402.91$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Paul Jubb52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ryotaro Taguchi26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Paul Jubb71c358.09$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.261,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Ryotaro Taguchi32c340.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11022953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Ryotaro Taguchi32c313.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Ryotaro Taguchi41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12361924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7f…ad2cbacked Paul Jubb75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Ryotaro Taguchi13c260.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4611325.7%29 W · 84 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d1…bc2dbacked Ryotaro Taguchi5c224.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Paul Jubb67c203.75$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.842,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ryotaro Taguchi40c184$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.72,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ryotaro Taguchi9c179.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6645147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ryotaro Taguchi13c178.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.331,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab7…1ae5backed Ryotaro Taguchi29c173.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+47.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Ryotaro Taguchi58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Paul Jubb75c162.93$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.933369.7%23 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Paul Jubb67c148.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0410065%65 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Paul Jubb75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3330653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Paul Jubb51c130$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.746556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ryotaro Taguchi37c125.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.314,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Ryotaro Taguchi14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5623832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ryotaro Taguchi36c116.65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.451,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Ryotaro Taguchi14c116.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7522113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6477…4243backed Ryotaro Taguchi19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Paul Jubb76c103.67$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8846453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Ryotaro Taguchi18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Paul Jubb52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4851539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2840…8f66backed Ryotaro Taguchi51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Paul Jubb52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1517262.8%108 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069b…e8afbacked Paul Jubb36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.334136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0cd…7af1backed Paul Jubb60c82.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ryotaro Taguchi29c77.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.546,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Ryotaro Taguchi59c77.41$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6715954.1%86 W · 73 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Paul Jubb78c73.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0728952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Paul Jubb78c73$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0681255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355a…df06backed Paul Jubb77c59.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.712347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Paul Jubb80c58.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.771,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Paul Jubb74c58.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1670148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Ryotaro Taguchi66c55.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.844946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1c…94d3backed Paul Jubb37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.053452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Ryotaro Taguchi65c50.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310451.9%54 W · 50 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Paul Jubb68c44.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0941272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d91…2a3abacked Paul Jubb77c41.62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.574100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Paul Jubb75c40.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3526349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Ryotaro Taguchi34c38.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Ryotaro Taguchi33c33.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9532043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Ryotaro Taguchi52c33.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4271165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Paul Jubb65c33.06$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4638460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c5a…d48abacked Paul Jubb74c30.08$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.829354.8%51 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3695…ca5ebacked Paul Jubb73c27.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…11e2backed Paul Jubb70c27.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.24983.7%41 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Paul Jubb58c25.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8640048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed Ryotaro Taguchi59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Ryotaro Taguchi57c25.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.425552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5e…e0f7backed Paul Jubb60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.227552%143 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4397…c3f0backed Paul Jubb78c14.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.