TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes41c60,258$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,258.191526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c22,428$10,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,231.4733945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c21,922$13,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,178.413,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c15,908$8,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,813.3669851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c15,032$8,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,631.062,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes42c14,998$6,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,698.856358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No58c11,741$6,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,753.781,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No55c10,077$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,542.15549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c8,402$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,806.7933737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No63c8,184$5,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,190.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,85033244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes40c6,999$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.415847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df2…8621backed No0c6,348$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed No58c4,457$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c3,916$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.5653645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No57c3,526$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.852532%8 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5907057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62011354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No58c2,667$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.1514315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed No58c2,252$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c1,704$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.2438748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No3c1,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.053066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No58c1,250$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7252429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes43c1,200$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.442646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes62c1,159$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0840744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6608844.3%39 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes41c999.88$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.935425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No69c990$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.13268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes45c977.73$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.7534547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c886.19$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.0219347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a35…5e52backed Yes33c881.33$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes33c828$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.1528241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c806.95$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.6949143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No21c800$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.865623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No54c799.95$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.974645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes39c770$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.72050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.291540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Yes46c671.11$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.475848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked No58c623.35$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.622352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes44c561$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9934342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No58c541.32$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3856951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd744…af4abacked No23c521.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes40c500.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.161353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes43c485.09$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27635856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes42c476.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.86448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.129250%46 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes38c458.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.335425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No56c405.44$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2162452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes40c371.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.4310728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96d…56fbbacked No57c361.86$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c361.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.821,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3113…9943backed Yes39c355.64$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f8…fcb1backed Yes44c349.87$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df9…4eb2backed Yes43c345.37$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7556…2c0dbacked No57c344.96$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7a…4474backed No57c336.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29df…8df4backed Yes44c332.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f79…fa8fbacked Yes44c331.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes33c303.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.385442.6%23 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16516045%72 W · 88 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0510251%52 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15924258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16519446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.122050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes45c284.7$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.593748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes45c277.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.783351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7819055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No53c270$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.122854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes38c263.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.586159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f84…f1c4backed Yes45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes39c256.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.259252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes39c254.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes40c251.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes40c250.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes36c243.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9122332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc02…e0d4backed Yes35c231.09$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No53c230$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.914355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No53c225$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2515453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d33…3b2dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3917549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes71c214.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4422669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f10…1eacbacked No55c212.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0418…d347backed No55c212.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes36c203.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes36c200$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.054240.5%17 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick27cpaid+81.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No55c198$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35af…4260backed Yes46c192.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda75…0799backed Yes46c190.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.