TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Yes29c93,783$27,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,006.051540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No71c30,000$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,700771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No70c25,465$17,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,639.483743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No70c16,760$11,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0283548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c15,325$10,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.6469851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c11,403$8,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.92,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c7,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96016647%78 W · 88 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No71c6,900$4,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02556547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c6,452$4,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.283,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No71c5,176$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+162.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4502759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1605461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No71c3,333$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.574351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes29c3,065$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No71c3,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8707057.1%40 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes29c2,758$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.827254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c1,871$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.641,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c1,240$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.630054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c1,113$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7711354.9%62 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No71c979.43$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0935856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes30c790$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2374920.4%10 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No71c782.32$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5719347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes29c768$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7210154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1638748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513129.8%39 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c498.4$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4762452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No72c444$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3214364.3%92 W · 51 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c406$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11631145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1166660.6%40 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c396.48$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9838646.9%181 W · 205 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes33c378.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes29c347$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6318545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815771.9%41 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8724258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes28c274.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.22119%4 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Yes29c273.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No71c270$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.322854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No71c234.04$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.212157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.714355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No71c225$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2515453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes28c218.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0937344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked No75c200.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5813957.6%80 W · 59 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563129%9 W · 22 L-7.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.212356.9%70 W · 53 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No71c180$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.212858.6%75 W · 53 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes30c146$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7416343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.935560%33 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010946.8%51 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No72c139.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.191457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9913066.9%87 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No71c127.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.854463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.812259%72 W · 50 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811458.8%67 W · 47 L+10.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.813859.4%82 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811259.8%67 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.812458.9%73 W · 51 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.810360.2%62 W · 41 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.812657.9%73 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.812358.5%72 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811563.5%73 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.813254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes30c113.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No71c113$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.776251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No71c112$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4810943.1%47 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No71c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7478248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed No71c105.63$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6311250.9%57 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3926…5863backed Yes28c105.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2912757.5%73 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825855.4%143 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes24c99.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No72c97.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4110258.8%60 W · 42 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.27057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa469…4985backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc09…21d0backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.425054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fed…a1f9backed No72c60.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411759.8%70 W · 47 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.49265.2%60 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes30c56.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.955038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffad…e00bbacked Yes29c55.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked No71c55.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.971464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes29c54.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9314642.5%62 W · 84 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46cb…08debacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…db4fbacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed No70c53.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.73666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No80c53$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.652065%13 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.