Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a154214f15d2f3a09e5012425dab0d7d9fb611069b70861690bb7780e2ae2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 72c | 7,489$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 4,267$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 3,517$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 28c | 2,174$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.72 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 68c | 1,885$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 73c | 1,497$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.78 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,286$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.03 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d99…8c95backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 912.32$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.41 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 834.44$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 71c | 758.6$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 694$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 650.38$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 594$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 546$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 400$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 68c | 378$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.18 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 359$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 73c | 266.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4a…2881backed Yes | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 244.87$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 174.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 174.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 72c | 152.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 133.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 92.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 79c | 37.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 62c | 30.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…9acbbacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 72c | 14.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.