Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Team Essence (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ecb74e0a97490e947ec91819e3576c04fe60d9af48dec0a9c89ad3cf2dc5fcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud Risingof Cloud Rising, Team Essence
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,094 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Cloud Rising | 40c | 3,885$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.37 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Cloud Rising | 65c | 1,920$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.74 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Team Essence | 42c | 1,872$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.87 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…6f28backed Team Essence | 59c | 1,457$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cloud Rising | 42c | 1,296$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.03 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Essence | 36c | 1,132$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.39 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Essence | 59c | 1,111$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.22 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Essence | 2c | 936.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Cloud Rising | 43c | 846.4$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Team Essence | 59c | 828.06$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Essence | 58c | 804.44$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Cloud Rising | 67c | 800.81$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.96 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed Cloud Rising | 42c | 749$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Team Essence | 55c | 721.61$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Essence | 62c | 720.5$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…c04dbacked Team Essence | 51c | 620$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ec…09e2backed Cloud Rising | 35c | 578$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud Rising | 52c | 557.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…fd9dbacked Team Essence | 57c | 539$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cloud Rising | 36c | 536$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.9 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Essence | 14c | 525.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed Team Essence | 58c | 519.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Team Essence | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Cloud Rising | 75c | 496.41$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Team Essence | 39c | 456.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…1d0abacked Cloud Rising | 49c | 403$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Team Essence | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Team Essence | 59c | 395$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Cloud Rising | 50c | 377.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Cloud Rising | 65c | 377$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…22debacked Team Essence | 34c | 371$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a0a4backed Team Essence | 60c | 369.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…f709backed Team Essence | 58c | 365$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Cloud Rising | 41c | 357$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.63 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…6d77backed Cloud Rising | 43c | 355$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Team Essence | 58c | 342.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efa…91b3backed Team Essence | 40c | 341$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…e779backed Cloud Rising | 21c | 339$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e679backed Team Essence | 65c | 337$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…7ea5backed Cloud Rising | 68c | 326.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…baf0backed Team Essence | 40c | 315$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeba…9ff9backed Cloud Rising | 39c | 307.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Essence | 45c | 301.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Team Essence | 66c | 300.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Cloud Rising | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Cloud Rising | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bf…459cbacked Cloud Rising | 66c | 295$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Cloud Rising | 34c | 293.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.41 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…18c5backed Cloud Rising | 60c | 282$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…cd1cbacked Team Essence | 62c | 277$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked Team Essence | 66c | 267$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…99a9backed Cloud Rising | 34c | 249$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…ab70backed Team Essence | 65c | 240$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cloud Rising | 42c | 235.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…f155backed Cloud Rising | 69c | 235.14$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1145…e384backed Cloud Rising | 34c | 235$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cloud Rising | 41c | 230$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.7 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed Cloud Rising | 34c | 227$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Essence | 67c | 224.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cd…7af1backed Team Essence | 46c | 216.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…b0f5backed Cloud Rising | 60c | 213$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…ad9cbacked Cloud Rising | 40c | 213$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7def…d80bbacked Team Essence | 40c | 208$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…15b6backed Cloud Rising | 42c | 205$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Cloud Rising | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…b7b2backed Cloud Rising | 38c | 198$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…72afbacked Cloud Rising | 43c | 197$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8143…760dbacked Cloud Rising | 38c | 196$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197d…8314backed Team Essence | 79c | 193$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Team Essence | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…7a16backed Team Essence | 58c | 185$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…4637backed Cloud Rising | 43c | 184$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Essence | 66c | 181.95$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…5054backed Team Essence | 57c | 178$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Team Essence | 58c | 177$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Team Essence | 58c | 176$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…fe64backed Team Essence | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…0d5fbacked Team Essence | 66c | 170$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…1800backed Cloud Rising | 60c | 162$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…f0c6backed Cloud Rising | 60c | 161$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…e813backed Team Essence | 57c | 159$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f0…3448backed Cloud Rising | 48c | 158$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Team Essence | 38c | 156.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…a36abacked Cloud Rising | 43c | 148$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked Team Essence | 79c | 146$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b9c6backed Team Essence | 60c | 145$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Cloud Rising | 35c | 143.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked Team Essence | 60c | 143.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…14bbbacked Team Essence | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…1c5dbacked Cloud Rising | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…5d52backed Team Essence | 66c | 132$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…2032backed Cloud Rising | 66c | 124$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Cloud Rising | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Cloud Rising | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…362fbacked Team Essence | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Cloud Rising | 65c | 117.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…ba42backed Team Essence | 31c | 115.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Team Essence | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…74c4backed Cloud Rising | 71c | 112.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Team Essence | 66c | 102$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Team Essence (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Team Essence - Game 1 WinnerCloud Rising won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.