TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a3c…a832

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+39.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Monte vs HAVU (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked HAVU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
Counter-Strike: STATE vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Cbacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.4
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Acend (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - Fragadelphia York Playoffsbacked Wanted Goons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$50.53
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BESTIA (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$70.06
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.79
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$39.73
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$34.2
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Last Bullet (BO3) - MaceMedia VOID Cup Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$27.75
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$38.48
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$250.41
Counter-Strike: Team Aether vs Zomblers (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Team Aether · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.98
Counter-Strike: BIG vs K27 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$241.96
Counter-Strike: FUZOS vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Bbacked 8Sins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.52
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.32
Counter-Strike: Players vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.64
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Tricked (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$165.24
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Leksands IF vs. HV 71backed HV 71 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$157.2
SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Malmoebacked Malmoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$277.2
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.12
Utah vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Kansas Jayhawks (W)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$56.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.