Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a059a52057dc6bf1400e0cbe8cb0a70767ffd85fe5c3f98612b67bf0b4d5faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 62c | 44,423$27,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,457.62 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 28,070$11,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,681.16 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 10,152$6,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.01 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 10,050$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331.5 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Yandex | 13c | 8,963$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex | 12c | 6,694$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.99 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 6,492$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Yandex | 23c | 6,110$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.88 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,849$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.23 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 5,763$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.42 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Yandex | 38c | 5,127$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.62 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,621$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,911.17 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 4,144$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.83 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 4,100$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.98 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 3,993$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.58 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 3,808$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.85 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Team Yandex | 1c | 3,762$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,685$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.35 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 3,490$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.75 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 3,350$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 3,232$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.63 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 3,207$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4af1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 3,205$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,106$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.83 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 3,092$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.42 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,000$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Yandex | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,963$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 2,851$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.09 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,596$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,480$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.79 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 2,401$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.9 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,351$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.4 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Team Yandex | 11c | 2,248$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Yandex | 64c | 2,194$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.8 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,124$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Yandex | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Yandex | 12c | 1,970$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,946$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.39 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,889$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.91 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Yandex | 46c | 1,758$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.68 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,736$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.91 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,690$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.75 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 1,628$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 79c | 1,505$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.03 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,499$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,403$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Team Yandex | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 72c | 1,377$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.29 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,358$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.89 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 1,309$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.36 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,293$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.98 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,250$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.48 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,232$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.42 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,200$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.29 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex | 10c | 1,099$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,065$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,000$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Yandex | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 988.1$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.74 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 942$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.6 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 872.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.14 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 865.29$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.39 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 781.76$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.04 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Yandex | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 692.51$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.06 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex | 60c | 610$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 608.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.74 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 589$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 583.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Yandex | 47c | 581.77$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.65 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 561.31$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.19 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Yandex | 52c | 550.82$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 540.56$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.34 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 528.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.36 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 516.61$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.75 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 506.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Yandex | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Team Yandex | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Yandex | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Team Yandex | 19c | 487.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 486.07$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.44 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 481.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Yandex | 20c | 476.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 473.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f2c0backed Team Yandex | 63c | 465.62$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Yandex | 60c | 453.84$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 439.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Yandex | 48c | 403.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Team Yandex | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 395.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.35 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 370.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.