Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0164b1dd593373301041e7dd354e1efadd894ac1b5bda70d452f4b2dc833744
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 119,574$52,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,210.49 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 57c | 73,366$41,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,472.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 57c | 19,484$11,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.12 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 13,423$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.89 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 11,220$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 59c | 10,931$6,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.32 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 10,573$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.84 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 8,974$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.89 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Yandex | 55c | 8,501$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.36 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Yandex | 57c | 7,741$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.52 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 6,036$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.98 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 5,848$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.14 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 5,482$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 4,600$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,356$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.31 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex | 56c | 4,155$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.28 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 60c | 3,330$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.33 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 79c | 3,294$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.91 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Team Yandex | 55c | 2,864$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.23 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 63c | 2,740$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Yandex | 77c | 2,556$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.9 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,543$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.71 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,467$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,337$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.12 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,167$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.53 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,980$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.77 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,979$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.75 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,934$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.3 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,917$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.58 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,643$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.87 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,603$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.11 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,497$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.81 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,475$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.67 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 1,454$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.31 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,441$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.07 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Yandex | 64c | 1,400$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.8 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,211$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.69 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 1,197$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.31 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,188$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.55 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,179$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.98 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,126$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.4 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,090$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.12 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,057$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.68 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,051$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.23 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,014$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.42 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex | 66c | 995.26$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Yandex | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 959.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 959.23$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.42 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Yandex | 78c | 919.44$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 917.73$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.62 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 860.39$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 849.78$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 836.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Yandex | 56c | 777.27$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.1 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 773.33$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 769.3$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.19 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 738.13$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.28 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 710.16$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.86 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 698.08$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 635.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 633.69$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Yandex | 60c | 625.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Yandex | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 527.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 524.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.23 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 521.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…3ba6backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Yandex | 56c | 481.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 443.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 429.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Team Yandex | 68c | 398.48$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 388.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 375.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Team Yandex | 66c | 369.11$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Yandex | 67c | 366.74$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 361.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 349.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Yandex | 64c | 341.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 334.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 333.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 322.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.59 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed Team Yandex | 71c | 315.78$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 305.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 303.17$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 302$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 301.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.