Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36f7c6a4e9d515d6568a1316d82831d6ab3cf11cf792c103e629844a8c10790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Yandex, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex | 60c | 24,531$14,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,718.54 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 59c | 13,189$7,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,804.16 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 12,050$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 11,868$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,977.59 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 10,918$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,778.57 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 6,021$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.55 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Yandex | 61c | 6,000$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.99 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Yandex | 65c | 5,645$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.95 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 5,632$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.54 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Yandex | 61c | 5,630$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434.07 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,267$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.65 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 5,188$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.36 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,919$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.8 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,723$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.05 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,980$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.36 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,877$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.6 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 2,817$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.86 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,466$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.55 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,463$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.22 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 2,250$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,205$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.55 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,193$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Team Yandex | 65c | 2,168$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Team Yandex | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Yandex | 66c | 1,987$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.09 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,985$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,976$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.55 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,904$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.58 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,446$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.56 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Yandex | 70c | 1,253$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.79 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,228$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.68 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 1,221$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.66 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,210$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.1 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,153$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.27 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 988.74$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.38 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 947.97$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.73 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 904.05$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.71 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 863.94$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.56 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 798.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.53 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 768.8$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.72 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 727.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.69 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 723$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.8 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Yandex | 64c | 696.74$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.84 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.72 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Yandex | 66c | 600$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 588.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Yandex | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Yandex | 64c | 479.92$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Yandex | 62c | 426.29$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.71 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 333.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Team Yandex | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 313.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Team Yandex | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 253.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 70c | 251.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Team Yandex | 59c | 251$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed Team Yandex | 59c | 237.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 221.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 64c | 217.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Yandex | 58c | 169.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex | 56c | 159.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 153.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 149.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 119.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Yandex | 63c | 100.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 97.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 94.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…c511backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 89.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Team Yandex | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 78.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Team Yandex | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Team Yandex | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 68.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 68.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 67.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 66.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Yandex | 62c | 65.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 62.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4aa…2ea8backed Team Yandex | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 59.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team Yandex | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…2a6bbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 58.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Yandex | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 49.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b6…70b9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 47.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.