CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9456a9faee4e8e7b86be08d304a3a7e9579bf3424b9873e71b5435827acb7969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Rune Eaters, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,193 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Ursa | 67c | 4,328$2,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.9 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 62c | 4,112$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 2,601$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 2,420$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.58 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 68c | 2,306$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.6 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Rune Eaters | 1c | 1,435$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 918.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Ursa | 66c | 799.97$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ursa | 79c | 767.75$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 763.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.72 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 737$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 661.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ursa | 72c | 609.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 555$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 78c | 553.15$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 532.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Ursa | 57c | 489.36$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.26 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 458.43$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rune Eaters | 36c | 399.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 383.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 379.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 67c | 314.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Ursa | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 283.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc025…a11abacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 274$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…b9c6backed Ursa | 70c | 262$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.41per pick | 48cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 236.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Ursa | 63c | 233.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 214$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 196$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Ursa | 57c | 174.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Ursa | 72c | 168.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…9acebacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 163$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 159.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…e057backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 158$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7203backed Ursa | 63c | 157.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked Ursa | 70c | 154$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Ursa | 67c | 150.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Ursa | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Ursa | 57c | 146.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…f5a8backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 141.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…d815backed Rune Eaters | 14c | 139.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…3af0backed Ursa | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 117$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a832backed Ursa | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Ursa | 68c | 111.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 108.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rune Eaters | 17c | 106.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 105.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Rune Eaters | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ursa | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…3d77backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Ursa | 66c | 88.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…2115backed Rune Eaters | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Ursa | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Ursa | 68c | 75.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Ursa | 67c | 75.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2233…23edbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…9182backed Ursa | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Ursa | 76c | 68.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked Ursa | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9a…9704backed Ursa | 64c | 61.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2ed4backed Ursa | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…da3fbacked Ursa | 68c | 53.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 50.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf2…5b4dbacked Ursa | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…5482backed Ursa | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2270…2d8cbacked Rune Eaters | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ursa | 72c | 47.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…9076backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 46.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…932cbacked Ursa | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Ursa | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…0a13backed Ursa | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed Ursa | 75c | 37.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…ad3fbacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 37.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Ursa | 75c | 36.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac91…f231backed Ursa | 64c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 35.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…e43ebacked Ursa | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Ursa | 67c | 30.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…9cbebacked Ursa | 64c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Ursa | 76c | 28.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Rune Eaters | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Ursa | 66c | 27.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…b951backed Ursa | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…2c1abacked Ursa | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ursa | 69c | 23.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Ursa | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.