TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabcf…e057

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$110.5
Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$142.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$61.2
Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmanebacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$72
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Madrid Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Chris Rodeschbacked Chris Rodesch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.38
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.54
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$162.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92%+$220.4
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$121.9
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.6
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.77
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.99
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Polona Hercog · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.78
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.19
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wubacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$66.04
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Philip Henningbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.59
Antalya 2: Tamara Zidansek vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Kigali: Sean Cuenin vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Kigali: Jay Clarke vs Calvin Hemerybacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TDK vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.83
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.8
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Infinite (BO1) - DraculaN Group Dbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.96
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Play-Inbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.67
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs OG (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$63.36
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$60.63
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$17.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked UB Alma Mater · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$86.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.76
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$55.76
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.94
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$41.85
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+39.7%+$15.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Abilene Christian Wildcats (W)backed Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.83
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.