TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FALKE Esportsof FALKE Esports, UB Alma Mater
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked FALKE Esports49c14,186$6,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,279.491,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed UB Alma Mater48c3,635$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.5913135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked FALKE Esports50c3,359$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.3116047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6018…ac09backed FALKE Esports47c2,903$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.245349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FALKE Esports51c2,665$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.451,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked UB Alma Mater51c2,071$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.0134250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed UB Alma Mater50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed FALKE Esports49c1,958$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.831,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed UB Alma Mater51c1,957$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.177733.8%26 W · 51 L-10.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked FALKE Esports47c1,947$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.9567056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed FALKE Esports53c1,719$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.1469539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed UB Alma Mater51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81611936.1%43 W · 76 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed UB Alma Mater50c1,550$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.3218336.6%67 W · 116 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked UB Alma Mater53c1,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.781,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked UB Alma Mater52c1,492$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.5924741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed UB Alma Mater50c1,398$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.691,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed UB Alma Mater50c1,105$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.431,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed UB Alma Mater51c1,044$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.632542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed UB Alma Mater53c1,011$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.786836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c7…133dbacked UB Alma Mater55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed FALKE Esports45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5504126.8%11 W · 30 L-8.0wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-52.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5986…73dcbacked FALKE Esports77c986.2$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UB Alma Mater29c945.18$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.081,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UB Alma Mater6c926.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1314035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed UB Alma Mater19c845.07$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16067931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2580…f1fabacked FALKE Esports48c805.79$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…d4aebacked FALKE Esports42c732.16$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.2910758.9%63 W · 44 L+10.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed FALKE Esports54c568.31$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.581,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked FALKE Esports48c532.84$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.084358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed UB Alma Mater52c505$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.61723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-61.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed FALKE Esports45c500.1$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0624643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed FALKE Esports45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27519744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FALKE Esports49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…6dd7backed UB Alma Mater54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed UB Alma Mater50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25064443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked UB Alma Mater51c494.82$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3615747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed UB Alma Mater51c485.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed UB Alma Mater52c461.43$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.941729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x569d…1d18backed FALKE Esports48c452.45$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed UB Alma Mater25c436.1$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6233040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked UB Alma Mater52c404.02$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0930035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FALKE Esports55c396.55$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.211,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed FALKE Esports50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19411567.8%78 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed UB Alma Mater22c376.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.693,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed UB Alma Mater55c367.68$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6530441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked UB Alma Mater55c362.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4423047%108 W · 122 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked FALKE Esports50c344.62$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7992450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed UB Alma Mater53c336.32$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2543839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3fb…2f72backed FALKE Esports74c325$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.251850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked FALKE Esports64c305.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked UB Alma Mater23c305.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.211,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed FALKE Esports56c292.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8544129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed UB Alma Mater25c292.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9978043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked UB Alma Mater5c291.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.571487.4%11 W · 137 L+0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed UB Alma Mater51c289.8$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3560849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed UB Alma Mater51c285.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.531323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabcf…e057backed UB Alma Mater49c274.59$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed UB Alma Mater59c257.08$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6721440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed UB Alma Mater24c238.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.261,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UB Alma Mater25c221.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.332,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed FALKE Esports49c213$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6329952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked UB Alma Mater51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked FALKE Esports49c206.22$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8816254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x354a…1f45backed UB Alma Mater55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed UB Alma Mater50c197.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9931643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed UB Alma Mater54c197.3$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8617739%69 W · 108 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa500…39d1backed FALKE Esports49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8812548.8%61 W · 64 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked UB Alma Mater50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8553649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed UB Alma Mater50c157.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.652,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked UB Alma Mater55c150$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7514846.6%69 W · 79 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa8…6e47backed FALKE Esports52c131.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.934768.1%32 W · 15 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed FALKE Esports53c130$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.739956.6%226 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked FALKE Esports49c124.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6317241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked UB Alma Mater25c113.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8973237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed UB Alma Mater51c111.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9339056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb44…9d91backed UB Alma Mater51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d1…b0dabacked UB Alma Mater36c103.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.514812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UB Alma Mater11c102.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.682,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x685b…cca8backed FALKE Esports46c100.32$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed UB Alma Mater50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd23…e6c9backed UB Alma Mater49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed FALKE Esports77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6844451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked FALKE Esports50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.519745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed FALKE Esports50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.512640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af4…e516backed UB Alma Mater51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5313154.2%71 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked UB Alma Mater25c93.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4734834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked FALKE Esports75c92.29$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3528965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed UB Alma Mater55c88.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5716647.6%79 W · 87 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed UB Alma Mater25c79.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7375150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e81…9f38backed FALKE Esports50c77.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+62.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3851…e908backed UB Alma Mater51c76.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UB Alma Mater37c67.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed UB Alma Mater25c62.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6536647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked FALKE Esports45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked FALKE Esports50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3079345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked FALKE Esports80c59.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8657772.3%417 W · 160 L-1.8wins0.00per pick73cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed UB Alma Mater38c58.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.391,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked UB Alma Mater27c53.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.398248.8%40 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4263…2f1cbacked UB Alma Mater56c52.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed FALKE Esports48c51.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2759450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.