Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246065283a33a82d629fe140633968ad5bc6d5e9ba59576bd8e35fec23a0d47f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE Esportsof FALKE Esports, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed FALKE Esports | 72c | 3,385$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.76 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked FALKE Esports | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.9 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed UB Alma Mater | 25c | 1,542$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.94 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed FALKE Esports | 55c | 1,237$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 1,131$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UB Alma Mater | 44c | 1,088$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked UB Alma Mater | 35c | 1,035$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked UB Alma Mater | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.06 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked UB Alma Mater | 50c | 578.55$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed FALKE Esports | 56c | 541.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked UB Alma Mater | 33c | 498.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed UB Alma Mater | 6c | 495.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed UB Alma Mater | 43c | 447.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 397.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed UB Alma Mater | 21c | 367.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed FALKE Esports | 63c | 356.8$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked FALKE Esports | 77c | 296.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.33 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UB Alma Mater | 42c | 294.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed FALKE Esports | 78c | 290.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ea…9d52backed FALKE Esports | 56c | 260.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UB Alma Mater | 44c | 241.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked FALKE Esports | 47c | 210.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed UB Alma Mater | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed UB Alma Mater | 44c | 186.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed FALKE Esports | 76c | 186.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UB Alma Mater | 27c | 172.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UB Alma Mater | 43c | 163.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 153.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FALKE Esports | 55c | 138.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed UB Alma Mater | 10c | 136.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed UB Alma Mater | 38c | 114.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed UB Alma Mater | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked UB Alma Mater | 46c | 101$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked UB Alma Mater | 12c | 99.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed UB Alma Mater | 21c | 97.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked UB Alma Mater | 44c | 86.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked UB Alma Mater | 25c | 86.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 83.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed FALKE Esports | 76c | 71.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UB Alma Mater | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UB Alma Mater | 29c | 67.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked FALKE Esports | 68c | 58.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FALKE Esports | 68c | 56.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed UB Alma Mater | 27c | 51.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed UB Alma Mater | 38c | 49.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed FALKE Esports | 54c | 47.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked UB Alma Mater | 44c | 44.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…73e2backed FALKE Esports | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked FALKE Esports | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed FALKE Esports | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked FALKE Esports | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonFALKE Esports won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerFALKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.