Lol · resolved market
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16833b8032655ee95c6cb8916b815c7aeb2a32647d95835560cdc382098f79ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE Esportsof FALKE Esports, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked UB Alma Mater | 13c | 4,391$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.38 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed UB Alma Mater | 38c | 1,181$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked UB Alma Mater | 37c | 1,006$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.4 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked FALKE Esports | 51c | 776.28$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.56 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked UB Alma Mater | 18c | 601.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked UB Alma Mater | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed FALKE Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed FALKE Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked FALKE Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked FALKE Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FALKE Esports | 44c | 293.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed FALKE Esports | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed UB Alma Mater | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FALKE Esports | 46c | 188.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed FALKE Esports | 66c | 188.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed UB Alma Mater | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked FALKE Esports | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed FALKE Esports | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed FALKE Esports | 69c | 134.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UB Alma Mater | 15c | 134.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 120.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed FALKE Esports | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked FALKE Esports | 47c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed FALKE Esports | 66c | 97.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FALKE Esports | 53c | 93.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed UB Alma Mater | 53c | 84.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3851…e908backed UB Alma Mater | 43c | 67.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked FALKE Esports | 76c | 64.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed UB Alma Mater | 39c | 64.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed FALKE Esports | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed FALKE Esports | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed FALKE Esports | 43c | 44.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed FALKE Esports | 69c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed FALKE Esports | 69c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed FALKE Esports | 69c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UB Alma Mater | 33c | 42.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…73e2backed FALKE Esports | 66c | 39.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed UB Alma Mater | 55c | 33.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FALKE Esports | 66c | 33.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed FALKE Esports | 68c | 29.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked FALKE Esports | 67c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…6ca8backed FALKE Esports | 68c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonFALKE Esports won
- LoL: FALKE Esports vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 WinnerFALKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.