CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa89543d212cfbb456c4a50a4b40ccd3d1329bd4e73c1476f97c80035fdcd669a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Acend, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,974 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 2,572$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Acend | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Acend | 39c | 1,650$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 32c | 1,348$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…b013backed Acend | 56c | 889.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 852.43$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…e0e9backed Acend | 65c | 845.4$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 812.64$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.49 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed Acend | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Acend | 40c | 790$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…a4cebacked Acend | 40c | 740$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Acend | 40c | 712$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Acend | 39c | 673.9$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 650.59$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Acend | 48c | 530.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…b897backed Acend | 8c | 506$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 41c | 458.6$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 430$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Acend | 74c | 406.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 404$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…faddbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5b…8ea5backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…7e77backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 360$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…9162backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 360$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Acend | 6c | 337.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 308$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 261.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 239.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Acend | 39c | 229.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Acend | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 158.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Acend | 7c | 140.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Team Nemesis | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 137.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed Acend | 62c | 135.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 134.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 131.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed Acend | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Acend | 56c | 113.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Acend | 38c | 113.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Acend | 26c | 110.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Acend | 47c | 105.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Acend | 57c | 97.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Acend | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Team Nemesis | 68c | 81.81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Acend | 53c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Acend | 61c | 66.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 55.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…7203backed Acend | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…e057backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 39.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Acend | 40c | 38.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Team Nemesis | 61c | 37.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Acend | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…88f0backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 33.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24d…8729backed Acend | 52c | 32.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 27.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Acend | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…4bcbbacked Acend | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…286abacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 19.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Acend | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 WinnerAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.